Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.003425 0.003595 0.003768 0.003959 0.004163 0.004376 0.004614
2025-03-30 0.003091 0.003340 0.003604 0.003907 0.004246 0.004615 0.005048
2025-04-06 0.002908 0.003203 0.003527 0.003908 0.004348 0.004843 0.005445
2025-04-13 0.002687 0.003003 0.003355 0.003779 0.004281 0.004858 0.005581
2025-04-20 0.002580 0.002921 0.003308 0.003784 0.004358 0.005037 0.005908
2025-04-27 0.002519 0.002886 0.003310 0.003841 0.004496 0.005286 0.006328
2025-05-04 0.002415 0.002794 0.003238 0.003802 0.004509 0.005380 0.006553
2025-05-11 0.002330 0.002720 0.003182 0.003778 0.004537 0.005488 0.006797
2025-05-18 0.002252 0.002650 0.003127 0.003750 0.004556 0.005583 0.007024
2025-05-25 0.002222 0.002637 0.003142 0.003810 0.004687 0.005827 0.007461
2025-06-01 0.002162 0.002585 0.003103 0.003798 0.004723 0.005943 0.007726
2025-06-08 0.002099 0.002526 0.003054 0.003769 0.004734 0.006024 0.007944
2025-06-15 0.002026 0.002453 0.002985 0.003713 0.004706 0.006052 0.008088
2025-06-22 0.001961 0.002388 0.002924 0.003665 0.004687 0.006092 0.008251
2025-06-29 0.001921 0.002353 0.002901 0.003666 0.004735 0.006226 0.008558
2025-07-06 0.001834 0.002256 0.002793 0.003548 0.004611 0.006107 0.008475
2025-07-13 0.001801 0.002227 0.002775 0.003552 0.004659 0.006238 0.008783
2025-07-20 0.001788 0.002225 0.002792 0.003604 0.004777 0.006477 0.009271
2025-07-27 0.001743 0.002178 0.002747 0.003569 0.004766 0.006521 0.009447
2025-08-03 0.001705 0.002140 0.002713 0.003546 0.004773 0.006591 0.009670
2025-08-10 0.001667 0.002102 0.002678 0.003521 0.004774 0.006652 0.009879
2025-08-17 0.001660 0.002104 0.002697 0.003576 0.004895 0.006905 0.010427
2025-08-24 0.001630 0.002075 0.002673 0.003564 0.004917 0.007000 0.010707